| Interview | Interview / for italian and spanish newspapers |
| Date | July 2008 |
| Subject | "Das Grosse Spiel" |
|
Q: What is the historic significance of John Law? A:
John Law was definitely the greatest financial genius of all time. His
idea to use paper to make money was a revolutionary concept at the time.
In those days, a coin had exactly the value of the metal it was made of.
And then, all of a sudden, John Law suggested that a worthless piece of
paper was supposed to have some real value. That was very odd indeed. It
was revolutionary and way ahead of time. Q: What makes John Law typical of his period? What
made hime unique? A: He
is the prototype for the new man on the brink to the period of
Enlightenment. He
questioned and reinvented everything. He was a radical non-conformist.
He even designed his own clothes. As a Protestant he lived with a
married Catholic woman who gave birth to their two bastard children.
Whatever he chose to do, he did with amazing passion and perseverance.
He was a man of action and he became the wealthiest man of his time. Q: How do you explain his success? A: It
takes more than a single quality to be really successful. John Law
wasn't only a brilliant mathematician and a genius of finances. Like
Julius Cesar, he was also capable of taking quick decisions and very
high risks. He was handsome and charismatic. And he was a passionate
lover, a collector of art and he was capable of compassion and sympathy
for the poor. Q: John Law was also a gambler. Was he an addict? A:
John Law wasn't just an ordinary gambler. His skills in gambling were
extraordinary. He played cards like no other, but he used his abilities
mostly to prove his theories. He gambled scientifically. Addicted
gamblers, on the other hand, are weak and unstable. They don't realize
that their losses are the casino’s profits. Casinos can only be built
so luxuriously because so many idiots go there every night to hand over
their money to them. Q: So, what was the scientific purpose of Law’s
gambling? A:
Let's not forget that all economic theories are based on game theories.
Insurance companies, for instance, work with the same calculus of
probabilities that are also used by professional gamblers. It’s the
same thing. It’s mathematics. In real life it can be used for both
economics, and pleasure. The results are often the same – disaster. Q: Clearly, John Law was up against a lot of
resistance. How did he manage to persevere? A:
People with his passion don't have a choice. Actually, it's how I work
myself (which explains why I find it so easy to understand someone who
is completely obsessed with an idea). You know, I have been writing
without much success for ten years. But it never bothered me. Basically,
it's like a game: You play to win. Earning money is a side-effect.
Consider football. You go on the lawn to score goals, not to make money. Q: Did John Law have any rivals in terms of economic
genius? Was there anybody like him during his lifetime? A:
No, I don't think so. Q: Was he aware of how profound an influence his ideas
would have? A:
Yes, John Law had a very clear idea of how he was going to reduce
poverty and suffering in Europe. He made very precise plans and they
worked. Q: What were John Law’s weaknesses? A: He
was more concerned with his ideas than the money he actually made. For
him, money was only a commodity that he was planning to use in his fight
against poverty in Europe. He was an idealist and a visionary on the
very brink to the period of enlightenment. His biggest problem, however,
was that he was ahead of his time. Q: Which were his mistakes? A:
The one thing he had neglected was the human factor, the madness of the
crowds. But, most of all, he couldn’t control the Prince Regent’s
lack of discipline. Out of pure greed this man clandestinely ran the
printing machine and flooded the market with money which, in the process,
lost its value. Q: So, we mustn’t blame John Law for the economic
collapse of his country? After all, he was the minister of finance. A:
No, John Law must not be blamed for the country’s decline. His
theories were correct and worked well. It was the Prince Regent, the Duc
d’Orleans, who suffocated the country and ruined its economy by
overspending and printing too much money. Actually, you could draw a
line to the decline of the US Dollar today. The more money the Americans
print (to pay far too expensive programs) the higher their inflation. Q: Was John Law the first man to be involved with an
economic mega-crash? A:
No, economic turbulences were not new. When Julius Caesar flooded the
Roman market with gold that he had looted from the Gauls, the economy
collapsed. Probably the first real economic crash in history was the
tulip mania which occured in the Netherlands in the 1630s. However,
during John Law’s lifetime the world, for the first time, witnessed a
crash of the stock exchange that would be considered catastrophic, even
against today’s standards. It ruined the country’s entire economy. Q: Are John Law’s theories of economics still valid
today? A:
Yes, of course. His theory of money is among the most influential ones
ever formulated, even to this day. Our modern world of finances is based
on Law's system, although today's democracies are capable of using more
refined methods of control and guidance to avoid major instabilities.
Even the whole idea of trading in options, puts and calls, derives from
John Law's laboratory of ideas. Q: Can you compare John Law’s world to ours? What is different, what
has remained the same? A: If
you look at everyday life of that period very carefully, you’ll see
that generally speaking, things seem to improve. Today, Western
Europeans are whining on a very high level of comfort and luxury. But
those of us who have spent some time in Asia, will get a better idea of
what life looked like 300 years ago in Europe. There are no health
insurances in Asia, no public welfare, no support for the jobless. The
mortality rate of young children is high and people mostly get married
to secure their material belongings. If you happen to be unlucky, you
don’t get a second chance. Nobody cares. In Asia today, life is very
much like it was for John Law in Europe. Q: John Law said that you don’t have to adore money
in order to earn it. Was he correct? A:
Yes, of course. My son claims that he's never met a person less
interested in money than me but I always manage to bring home enough
money. I think the only thing that counts to be successful is passion. Q: How did you come across this story? A: It
was my son who brought my attention to the character of John Law. He
first came across the name when he was reading the memoirs of Duc de
Saint Simon. Q: Where you also inspired by the writings of other
adventurous characters of the period, like Casanove, for example? A:
No, not really. I’ve mostly been interested in the life of a man who,
to the great surprise of his contemporaries and against considerable
resistance, invented money made of paper. But I’ve also been
fascinated by John Law, the Casanova, the gambler and the convicted
duellist who was sentenced to death but continued to become the
world’s wealthiest man, a mathematical genius and a popstar for the
world of finances. There are so many sides to his personality, it’s
really fantastic. I find it hard to understand why today everybody knows
about Casanova, but hardly anybody has ever heard the name of John Law. Q: What can we learn from John Law, the character? |